As I’m sure most of you have already seen, our President actually had the audacity last week to compare Iraq to Vietnam. Now I know what you are thinking: we’ve all been comparing Iraq to Vietnam for years, and it actually is a pretty good comparison, so how has Bush screwed this one up?
Well, Bush wasn’t saying Iraq was another Vietnam and the only way out was America’s withdrawal, and a painful internal process of reconciliation in the country. No, Bush actually is making the argument that we left Vietnam TOO EARLY!!! and that our leaving led to the violence and tragedy that followed both in Vietnam and in neighboring countries, like Cambodia. The idiocy and myopia that he portrays in this comment leads me to the conclusion expressed in the title, Bush has taken off the training wheels and is now riding high with the misguided confidence of an eight-year old.
Now, as I said, it is an apt comparison, but the conclusions that Bush draws are horribly misguided. Bush cites Japan as a case where American occupation helped “turn defeat into democracy,” and South Korea as a case where “the defense strategy… helped raise up an Asian Tiger.”
First, the Japan case is of great qualitative difference than Iraq: Japan was a predominantly homogenous and politically united nation before U.S. intervention, Japan was the admitted aggressor in the hostilities and for the most part welcomed U.S. forces throughout their stay (in understandable respects Americans were much more welcome than Soviet occupation,) and perhaps most importantly Emperor Hirohito, the unchallenged “divine” leader of the nation, came on radio to address the Japanese people and announce that the best course of action for his Japanese subjects would be reconciliation with America, (in most likely the first ever public address by a Japanese Emperor.) There are of course vast cultural differences too, of which I am in no way an expert (maybe my good friend Ruben will deign to enlighten us on these.)
Now Korea strikes a much more similar situation, though quantitatively tougher, but it still should lead to very different conclusions. Bush trumps South Korea up as an economic juggernaut, and American presence as a benefit for the South Korean people. In both of these respects I am willing to agree for the most part. However, Bush has inexcusably overlooked an entire half of the country (actually more than half in terms of geography.) I have no doubt that if America wants to, it can secure Baghdad (at least to some degree: see the Green Zone,) or Kurdistan, and prop up the governments with military and civilian aid to the point that it would drive the other parts of the country into a permanent stand-off and much closer ties with Iran. This would clearly be relatively advantageous to the people in the secured areas, but it would also create yet another rogue state and humanitarian quagmire, not unlike North Korea, and another perennial combat zone, much like the DMZ. Also important to keep in mind are the quantitative and cultural differences: First, Iraq borders six different nations, whereas the Koreas only border China, each other, and under 12 miles (19 km) of Russia, and South Korea itself only borders the North. The total land distance of the border of South Korea is 147 miles (238 km,) as opposed to 2268 miles (3650 km) in Iraq, even if you add in coastline South Korea’s border still remains less than 75% of the length of Iraq’s. More importantly in my opinon, the new rogue state, unlike North Korea, would be in close proximity to a neighbor, Israel, that they have avowed to remove from the face of the Earth, and they would soon have the capabilities to do it. Currently, I would say North Korea is the most likely state to carry out any nuclear strikes (outside of arguably the U.S. and Israel,) but I have some confidence that Kim Jong-Il is rational enough to understand that any such attacks would be the surefire end of his reign and probably his nation. I’m not sure I would have any such confidence in the new leadership that is arising in the fringe elements of Iraq that were empowered, and continue to be strengthened, as a result of the U.S. insurgence and occupation. Perhaps the most striking assumption, however, is that the U.S. actually has the power and will to continue our presence in Korea and elsewhere, expand our presence in Iraq, and still be able to improve our domestic situation (see failing schools, failing infrastructure, and our failing political system) and maintain an at-ready force capable of defending real threats to our sovereignty and that of our allies.
Bush was right to bring up Vietnam, but he should’ve studied the case a little better. Sometimes situations must get worse before they get better, and I have reached the conclusion that that is, sadly, probably the case in Iraq. Our continued persistence their only empowers the fringe groups, weakens America’s power and standing in the world, and threatens to discredit the peaceful, reconciliatory elements of the nation. Once we finally withdraw, I would assume there will be some level of violence and conflict in the country, but I have faith, that just like in Vietnam (which now experiences an 8.2% real GDP growth rate,) real leadership will arise to bring Iraq into the 21st Century. I don’t assume the resulting government will be anything like I would propose, or want to live in for that matter, but it is far past time that Westerners realize we don’t fully understand the cultural nuances that dominate the region (and haven’t since heavy involvement began in the early 20th century,) we no longer have any political capitol amongst the constituents of the region, and we cannot rightly promote our conception of freedom with the point of a gun. In my mind these two concepts, force and freedom, are utterly incommensurable. As Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator from Georgia and a victim of both the Vietnam War and the Karl Rove/George Bush political attack machine, asserted in this weekend’s Democratic Party’s weekly radio address: “One of the lessons to be learned from Vietnam is that the commitment of American military strength alone cannot solve another country’s political weakness.”
Bush, his few remaining advisors, and his political allies and adversaries would do well to study up on history before they make broad claims and allusions like the one they made last week. America’s 20th century was marked with increasing global intervention, it is past time that we return our focus to our own soils and work to improve our own understanding and undertaking of freedom, and justice. If we continue our present ways we are surely doomed to fail, but I have faith that an America that lives up to its potential, which was seen so long ago, and described in words better than mine by Puritan John Winthrop in 1630:
For we must consider that we shall be as a city upon a hill. The eyes of all people are upon us. So that if we shall deal falsely with our God in this work we have undertaken, and so cause him to withdraw his present help from us, we shall be made a story and a by-word throughout the world. We shall open the mouths of enemies to speak evil of the ways of God, and all professors for God’s sake. We shall shame the faces of many of God’s worthy servants, and cause their prayers to be turned into curses upon us til we be consumed out of the good land whither we are going.